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· intermediate

Model Evaluation and Validation

Deciding whether a model is any good. Why accuracy misleads, what precision and recall are really trading off, where the threshold comes from, and how cross-validation stops one lucky split from deciding everything.

Pathaxis · Original content

Written in house, from the work rather than from a syllabus. Every example is one we would use ourselves, and every quiz question explains why its answer is right.

83 min 6 lessons 15 quiz questionsStart course

What you’ll learn

  • Read a confusion matrix and name the two kinds of error
  • Choose between precision, recall and their balance from the cost of each error
  • Explain why accuracy fails on imbalanced data
  • Pick a decision threshold deliberately rather than accepting 0.5
  • Use cross-validation, and pick the right splitter for grouped or time-ordered data
  • Choose a regression metric knowing how each treats a large error

Before you start

  • · Machine Learning Basics, or equivalent
  • · Comfortable with the idea of a train and test split

Syllabus

01

Counting errors

The confusion matrix, and the two mistakes.